光伏發(fā)電電價(jià)支持政策及風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析
韓偉，王宏華，陳凌
(河海大學(xué) 能源與電氣學(xué)院，江蘇 南京 210098)
摘 要： 針對(duì)光伏發(fā)電的電價(jià)支持政策及風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行分析。比較了國(guó)外光伏上網(wǎng)電價(jià)政策，并評(píng)估了其風(fēng)險(xiǎn)性。結(jié)合國(guó)內(nèi)光伏發(fā)電政策，總結(jié)出了現(xiàn)行政策下存在的若干問(wèn)題。從明確光伏發(fā)電風(fēng)險(xiǎn)承擔(dān)主體；合理調(diào)整光伏電價(jià)支持政策；不斷技改，降低電網(wǎng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)系數(shù)；不斷完善協(xié)調(diào)配合機(jī)制，形成合力；合理布局，提高光伏發(fā)電準(zhǔn)入門(mén)檻等5 個(gè)方面提出解決措施。
關(guān)鍵詞： 光伏發(fā)電；電價(jià)；支持政策；風(fēng)險(xiǎn)
中圖分類(lèi)號(hào)：TM615 文獻(xiàn)標(biāo)識(shí)碼：A 文章編號(hào)：1007-3175(2014)09-0005-04
Analysis of Pricing Support Policy and Risk for Photovoltaic Power Generation
HAN Wei, WANG Hong-hua, CHEN Ling
（College of Energy and Electrical Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China）
Abstract: The pricing support policy and risk for photovoltaic (PV) power generation were analyzed. The feed-in tariff policies of PV were carried on comparison and risk evaluation. Combining with the support policy of PV power generation in China, there were some problems under the current policy. The approaches to those problems were proposed in five aspects, mainly including clearing the risk bearing entity of PV power generation, adjusting the support policy timely, upgrading the technology continuously and lowering the risk factor of grid, improving the coordination mechanism constantly forming collaborative forces, distributing reasonably and raising the market access requirements moderately.
Key words: photovoltaic power generation; electricity price; support policy; risk
參考文獻(xiàn)
[1] 王俊，蔡興國(guó)，季封，李現(xiàn)忠.考慮新能源發(fā)電不確定性的可用輸電能力風(fēng)險(xiǎn)效益評(píng)估[J].電力系統(tǒng)自動(dòng)化，2012，36(14)：108-112.
[2] 曾鳴，李晨，劉超，等. 考慮電價(jià)補(bǔ)貼政策的風(fēng)電投資決策模型與分析[J]. 電力系統(tǒng)保護(hù)與控制，2012，40(23)：17-23.
[3] Curtright Aimee E, Morgan M Granger, Keith David W. Expert Assessments of Future Photovoltaic Technologies[J].Policy Analysis,2008, 42(24)：9031-9038.
[4] ZHAO Zhen-yu, ZHANG Shuang-ying, Hubbard Bryan, YAO Xue. The emergence of the solar photovoltaic power industry in China[J].Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews,2013, 21(2)：229-236.
[5] Bazilian Morgan, Onyeji Ijeoma, Liebreich Michael, et al. Re-considering the economics of photovoltaic power[J].Renewable Energy,2013, 53(2)：329-338.
[6] 江林.分布式光伏發(fā)電并網(wǎng)的國(guó)內(nèi)外政策分析與啟示[J].江蘇電機(jī)工程，2013，32(3)：66-68.
[7] Branker K, Pathak M J M, Pearce J M. A review of solar photovoltaic levelized cost of electricity[J].Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2011, 15(20)：4470-4482.
[8] Duke Richard, Williams Robert, Payne Adam.Accelerating residential PV expansion: demand analysis for competitive electricity markets[J].Energy Policy, 2005(33)：1912-1929.
[9] Chaurey A, Kandpal T C. Carbon abatement potential of solar home systems in India and their cost reduction due to carbon finance[J].Energy Policy, 2009(37)：115-125.
[10] 王乾坤，周原冰，宋衛(wèi)東. 德國(guó)可再生能源發(fā)電政策法規(guī)體系及其啟示[J]. 能源技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)，2010，22(10)：50-54.
[11] 張欽，蔣莉萍.美國(guó)加州可再生能源發(fā)展經(jīng)驗(yàn)與實(shí)踐[J].華東電力，2012，40(11)：1895-1898.
[12] Klessmann C, Nabe C, Burges K. Pros and consof exposing renewable to electricity market risks: A comparison of the market integration approached in Germany, Spain, and the UK[J].Energy Policy, 2008(36)：3634-3661.
[13] 胡國(guó)偉，別朝紅，王錫凡. 考慮運(yùn)行可靠性的含風(fēng)電電力系統(tǒng)優(yōu)化調(diào)度[J]. 電工技術(shù)學(xué)報(bào)，2013，28(5)：58-65.
[14] 楊德州，王利平，張軍，等.大型分布式電源模型化研究及其并網(wǎng)特性分析——(一)光伏電站專(zhuān)題[J].電力系統(tǒng)保護(hù)與控制，2010，38(18)：104-110.
[15] 張麗英，葉延路，辛耀中. 大規(guī)模風(fēng)電接入電網(wǎng)的相關(guān)問(wèn)題及措施[J]. 中國(guó)電機(jī)工程學(xué)報(bào)，2010，30(25)：1-9.
[16] 侯婷婷，婁素華，張滋華，等. 協(xié)調(diào)大規(guī)模風(fēng)電匯聚外送的火電容量?jī)?yōu)化[J]. 電工技術(shù)學(xué)報(bào)，2012，27(10)：255-261.
[17] 鄧衛(wèi)，唐西勝，裴瑋，等. 含風(fēng)電微型電網(wǎng)電壓穩(wěn)定性分析與控制技術(shù)[J]. 電工技術(shù)學(xué)報(bào)，2012，27(1)：56-62.
[18] 袁德，李宜君，董全學(xué)，等.基于Black-Scholes實(shí)物期權(quán)定價(jià)模型的發(fā)電商投資決策分析[J].電力系統(tǒng)保護(hù)與控制，2008，36(12)：17-20.
